The American Enterprise Institute (AEI) posted this article on their Ideas blog. The article references a report by the Potomac Research Group. The Potomac Research Group concluded that the US could start running surpluses by 2015! This of course assumes that the sequester is still in effect and the GDP hits a growth rate of at least 4%. Here is a quote from the Potomac report via AEI:
“[O]fficial forecasters will have to radically alter their projections this summer. […] [I]f the economy finally lifts off in 2014-2015, with GDP growth in the 4% neighborhood — with the sequester still in place – a surplus by fiscal 2015 is not totally out of the question.”
The AEI then goes on to bemoan the fact that a balanced budget would ruin the momentum of debt reduction policies and entitlement reform.
This is why I love politics. After years of haranguing us about the Democrats’ anti-market policies and unbalanced budgets, the AEI is now unhappy because the budget might be on its way to being balanced, and if the government runs surpluses no one will want to cut “entitlements.”
The Internet sales tax is something rare in an era of unprecendented corporate influence: it’s fair. ampro.me/15ke1xO
— The Prospect (@theprospect) May 6, 2013
“There shouldn’t be special incentives in the tax code to buy from Amazon instead of your local retailer,” says Carl Davis, a senior fellow at The Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, the research arm of Citizens for Tax Justice. […]
There’s no question that local businesses are hurt by e-commerce; a 5-10 percent off-the-top price break is considerable. […]
“Poorer families pay a larger share of their income in sales taxes than better-off families do because they have to spend almost everything they earn,” Mazerov said. “Tax-free Internet shopping compounds the problem: Many low-income families would love to shop online to avoid sales tax but can’t because they don’t own a computer or can’t afford high-speed Internet access.””
-Jeff Sanigor, The American Prospect.
So, while the government is proposing cutting corporate taxes, it is also trying to impose a new sales tax. The American Prospect is promoting the Internet sales tax as being fair, but is it really?The author of this article makes some solid points about wealthy vs. poor shoppers, however he is missing the bigger picture; the nation’s tax burden is being shifted away from corporations and on to people like you and me.
(Source for the graph.)
Since the 1980s individuals have been carrying a larger and larger share of the tax burden. Imposing an Internet sales tax and then cutting corporate taxes will continue this trend. As of 2011 tax revenue from individuals has rebounded yet revenue from corporations is still down significantly. What is more disconcerting is that this re-alignment of the tax burden is happening at a time when unemployment remains persistently high, wages are stagnant, and corporate profits are at all time highs.
Is this really fair?
US President Barack Obama has emphasized the need for additional revenues as part of a balanced plan to reduce future deficits, but is also proposing to cut the corporate-tax rate. While this approach may seem inconsistent, there is a strong pro-growth rationale for pursuing it.
Higher investment in the US by both domestic and foreign companies would boost economic growth, while the resulting increase in capital – new businesses, factories, equipment, and research –would improve productivity. That should, in turn, boost real wages over time (although the link between productivity growth and wage growth has weakened during the last two decades).
-Laura Tyson
Here is an idea, to somewhat correct the divergence between productivity increases and wages, any reduction in the corporate tax rate should be linked to wage increases.
Although, it may be necessary to first ask if it is even necessary to reduce corporate taxes when many corporations barely pay any taxes at all.
Kishore Mahbubani, editor of The National Interest and author of The Great Convergence: Asia, the West and the Logic of One World, discusses global governance and the changing order of the world.
Wolfgang Schaeuble, Finance Minister, Germany. (via BBC)
So, after the Cypriot parliament rejects a bailout plan that would tax their citizen’s savings accounts, the German Minister of Finance warns Cypriots that their banks may never open again.
On Political Analysis and Recent History

Ever since Obama’s re-election last November there has been much discussion about the future of the Republican Party. This discussion has been re-invigorated by the CPAC convention. The main themes of most of these discussions are that the Republicans (due to demographics) are going to have a hard time winning elections unless they change their policies to be more in line with the rest of the country and the Democrats. It is frequently pointed out that the Republicans have lost five out of the last six popular votes for president. More and more, pundits are portraying George W. Bush as an aberration in a Democratic era.
For some perspective let’s look back a few decades. Reagan initiated a period of change within the Republican Party and in America. This led to the dominance of the Republican Party throughout the 1980s. After two terms of Reagan, one for George H. Bush, two for Clinton, and then two for George W. Bush most political discussion (circa 2004-2005) was dominated by the supposed demise and irrelevancy of the Democratic Party. Clinton was just an aberration in a Republican era.
In 2004, the Democrats were deemed all but obsolete and incapable of winning elections. But, then, in 2006, by doing nothing and changing little, they began winning elections. The seeds of the recent Democratic victories were sown by: 1. the changes in the party made by Clinton (by shifting the party to the center Clinton made the party more appealing to a larger segment of the population), and 2. by a growing fatigue with the Republican party (anti-incumbent sentiment and the pendulum effect). In fact, the recent string of Democratic victories-congressional and presidential- owe more to changes in methodology than policy. Obama won two terms not by having new and brilliant ideas, but because he ran an excellent campaign that took advantage of data and technology to target voters and, most importantly, to get younger voters to actually show up at the polls.
So where do the Republicans stand today? The tea party is wreaking havoc on it, and libertarianism is gaining strength within the party, but for the most part the party seems to want to get away from George W. Bush’s big government approach and get back to Reaganism. So, it is unlikely that we will see any major changes from the GOP. Certainly, they may have to moderate some of their positions on social issues like gay marriage, but the biggest changes will simply be in rhetoric. This is evident in some of the speeches given at CPAC. Many have simply said that the recent losses are due to a ‘branding’ problem. Indeed, I think that this sentiment is mostly correct. Certainly, changes in the country and in demography have played a role, but the biggest changes that I will be looking for in the Republican Party is in their campaigns. I expect them to try and copy many of the techniques that Obama used. I also expect that they will be more sucessful when they do so.
So, when you hear pundits and experts pontificating about how the Republican Party is dead or has become some huge joke, take it with a grain of salt. The Clinton administration was once viewed as the final victory of a dying party.
Economic inequality in the USA has been increasing since the early twentieth century. Is de-regulation the cause? Or is it due to an economic shift toward the financial sector or the “particular values esteemed in American society”?
“Some of the most powerful and sophisticated actors on the world stage today aren’t governments, they’re companies. While some global businesses show consideration for the people whose lives they touch, many don’t. Whether through incompetence or design, some companies seriously harm the communities around them, their own workers, and even the governments of the countries where they operate. […]
History’s long and growing catalogue of corporate human rights disasters shows how badly companies can go astray without proper regulation. Yet many companies fight to keep themselves free of oversight, as though it were an existential threat.”
-Chris Albin-Lackey, World Policy Blog.
Albin-Lackey includes some proposals of how governments could regulate MNCs. However, one problem with all of the proposals-as mentioned in the above quote- is that corporations often resist even the slightest attempt at regulation tooth and nail, as if it poses an existential threat. These attempts to thwart oversight are usually successful since MNCs are wealthier and more powerful that many of the world’s governments; even many western governments are being brought to heel by the immense wealth concentrated into the hands of these corporations.

The Twisted Economics of Twenty-First-Century Socialism
Chávez may have wanted to “pulverize” capitalism, but the president’s stewardship of the Venezuelan economy seems to have helped private firms more than workers. An interactive graphic explains how, during his tenure, the country’s stock market skyrocketed while real wages collapsed.
The Venezuelan stock market is up 870% since 2000, while real wages declined 40%. Apparently socialism also redistributes wealth upward.
